Great site and excellent posts as usual.
The way I see the outcome of this war is two fold. Israel on one hand is securing its people for only a few years as this war may have brought it somewhat a UN victory but rather a losing fight against the arabs.
The arabs on the other hand have learned that with proxies like Hizballah they don’t have to lift a finger in order to fight Israel and be effective. They’ve learned from the Syrians that supporting proxies as such can achieve them victory against their zionist enemy.
What I predict is more and more support for other militias and proxies in lebanon. Saudi Arabia will not sit back and let Syria be the only nation with leverage. Saudi will support and fund an al-qaeda type of sunni extremism planted on our soil. As for lebanon, it has expanded its battlefield to include all the others whom are willing to be included in this fight against Israel. The next five years will be the judge of that. Lebanon is a lost cause. Sorry for my pessimism, I don’t see a bright future for lebanon as long as the arabs are secretly but will soon openly launch a new front on Israel.

Take care.