The Lebanese crisis has receded from the headlines but has not gone away. Today, all eyes are on the presidential election, the latest arena in the ongoing struggle between pro- and anti-government forces. Yet even if a compromise candidate is found, none of the country’s underlying problems will have been addressed, chief among them the status of Hizbollah’s weapons. If the election is to be more than a mere prelude to the next showdown, all parties and their external allies need to move away from maximalist demands and agree on a package deal that accepts for now Hizbollah’s armed status while constraining the ways in which its weapons can be used.

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6 Comments. Add your own...

  • 1. paul | October 10th, 2007 at 10:23 pm

    this crisis group did not yet understand that the weapons of HA are the mother of all the problems ? all what HA wants is his own state,bala ra2ase bala ballout.

  • 2. Solomon2 | October 11th, 2007 at 2:17 am

    The ICG appears to understand many things. Above all, however, they understand that as an organization operating out of Beirut, there is only so much they can say without getting blown up. So their analysis is good in spots and entirely absent in others, and their specific recommendations don’t always jibe with their reasoning. You have to read in between the lines a little, I think.

  • 3. Jester | October 11th, 2007 at 7:49 am

    How is Hezbollahs Weapons any problem to the LEBANESE? I see it as a Problem for Israel.

    Now of course the intent is not to keep the weapons forever, and I doubt Hezbollah intends to keep the weapons forever (it would defy it’s purpose), but to ask the question, If Hezbollah is such a nuissance, why doesn’t Israel give up “So Little”:

    -There is about 3 Lebanese left in Israeli prison and we Have one Israeli with Hezbollah)

    - Shebaa farms and Ghanjar, two very small areas.

    - And to stop stealing Lebanese Waters.

    If Hezbollah is such a nuisance and a danger to Israel, want doesn’t it finally strike a deal with Hezbollah? Why dosen’t America push Israel to settle the 3 simple issues.

    Israel is Amerca’s B**ch, and not the other way around, the USA needs Israel to be in constant war.

    When the war of Summer of 2006, Israel was being humiliated on World TV, and recessed and then retreated several times while being bombed by 4000 missiles for the first time in Israels History, for what? Because America wanted the war to go on… And they Finally Stopped because Israel Begged America for there to be a settlement of 1701. 1701 is a pride for Hezbollah!

    Let it be clear, I am not for Hezbollah, but when it comes to Israel, I’m for Hezbollah all the way.

    I restate the 3 demands of Hezbollah:

    - Exchange of Lebanese/Israeli prisoners

    - Shebaa farms and Ghanjar, two very small areas.

    - And to stop stealing Lebanese Waters.

    - Make PEACE, not an agreement, but a full Peace, with our neighbors to the south, the State of Israel.

    And I would be the first to go against Hezbollah if it has any reason to keep its arms.

  • 4. paul | October 11th, 2007 at 9:04 am

    a signature for peace ,solves all problems with Israel, without blood pours.

  • 5. Solomon2 | October 11th, 2007 at 2:38 pm

    I doubt Hezbollah intends to keep the weapons forever (it would defy it’s purpose)

    Jester, the ICG report clearly states that when Hezbollah’s demands are fulfilled, the organization “evolves to stay relevant” - that is, it continues to justify its special status in Lebanon by increasing its demands upon others. That’s why “giving a little to Hezbollah” doesn’t help matters, but only builds the crisis within Lebanon further.

  • 6. mikel | October 12th, 2007 at 1:45 am

    Jester

    5ayye halla2 2nta mn kll 3a2lak enno Hezbollah keeps weapons just to fight israel, and you actually believe that they’ll just give up their weapons if peace is made?



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