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Nasrallah is no good to Syria anymore ??

Posted by N10452

The main characteristic of the Baath regime and any dictatorial regime is that it eliminates physically anyone who presents a threat to their plans, specifically when it is one of their allies or should i say loyal followers.

Syria assassinated Kamal Jumblatt when they saw in him a strong leader threatening their future plan to invade Lebanon and control it, even though he was on the “right” side back then with the National front, they later killed Hassan Khaled as well, who started critisizing their role, and of course assasinated most of the politicians who opposed them, from Bashir Gemayel till Walid Eido few days ago ..

Hassan Nasrallah is becoming a threat to Syrian interests in my opinion, he has become too powerful and has a certain independant status in few internal decisions. After the July war, UNIFIL were sent to monitor the borders and the Shebaa farms issue was neutralized and will probably be solved in the UN. And now, after the peaceful demonstrations and sit-ins and the bombings occuring and the victory of the army in Nahr el Bared, Nasrallah held his followers from getting involved in inner-sectarian fights, and did not directly ask the army not to intervene, but just sent an indirect message.

Syria wants trouble in Lebanon, something Hezbollah cannot bare right now, probably cause of the presence of the Sunnite Jihadist groups, and because it got itself involved in a political crisis, that requires from it to avoid showing its chaos-making side so that it stays credible to its allies, mainly the Christian ones.

Jumblatt raised an important issue in his latest interview, something few people noticed or commented on.He stated that Nasrallah was “reading” his speech last time he talked, something unusual, and he seems bothered and uneasy. He questioned also of how influential has Imad Mughnieh become in the HA-decision making, and of whether he has become stronger than Nasrallah himself ..

For all those who dont know who that man is, he was on the top most wanted terrorists of the FBI and he is a senior member of the Hezbollah and head of its security section, he has links to Al-Qaeda and has performed numerous kidnappings and assassinations in the past.

Hassan Nasrallah could be the “bouc emissaire” of a general regional settlement and has to take a decisive move in either breaking up with Syria once and for all, or bare the consequences of putting obstacles on its way even though indirectly ..

The only guarantee that he might have is the Iranian side but Iran knows it is almost impossible for HA to make its Islamic Republic in Lebanon while Sunnites and Christians are still around and while the Shiite community is going backwards on all levels instead of integrating the socio-economical life, all that cause of its leaders.

Sending the UN troops to monitor the Syrian borders will be a major blast for Syrians and they might ask impossible tasks for their allies to perform … or else ??


Filed under: Editorials, Lebanon, Political, Regional Politics
Posted by N10452 on 06.17.07 @ 10:47 pm |

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15 Comments. Add your own...

  • 1. LF forever | June 17th, 2007 at 10:55 pm

    Nice comment and great opinion.

    I totally agree…

    Mughnieh gonna make big trouble to HA for sure.

  • 2. LF forever | June 17th, 2007 at 11:01 pm

    Mughnieh will be as Hobeika in Hezbullah! he will kill Nasrallah, his own friend and leader.

  • 3. JoseyWales | June 18th, 2007 at 2:40 am

    A bit too early,

    But I think the firing of rockets from the south, especially if repeated, may drive a wedge between Nasrallah and Syria.

    The rockets will create inter-shia frictions if Nasrallah does not support the army clearly on that one.

    The Aoun/Hezbo frictions have already started with Nahr el Bared.

    The question is will M14 know how to play the game?

  • 4. ghassan K | June 18th, 2007 at 4:41 am

    Honestly, this is probably the last card that the Syrian can play to create chaos in Lebanon. Killing Nasrallah could get the Syrian mafia regime two goals with one stone. 1. Starting a civil war. 2. they will say, you see the killing is done by other people not us. we don’t kill our allies.

    Another choice is Berri!

    All the time Syria have tried to create anarchy in Lebanon but couldn’t so far!!!

  • 5. ghassan K | June 18th, 2007 at 1:33 pm

    I agree with JoseyWales. I hope that there are still some politicians in the March 14 who can use the differences between Hizb-Iran, Syria and the Tayyar for its (for Lebanon’s) benefit!

  • 6. D | June 18th, 2007 at 4:25 pm

    yeslamle ta7lilatak ya sadi2e

  • 7. bachir-7ay-fina | June 18th, 2007 at 6:30 pm

    heheh iza atalou la nasrallah fekra el shi3a ra7 yebko mwa7adin w yekhedmo siyesit souria metel ma badda ???
    metel ma sar fina wakt bachir n2asamna

  • 8. paul | June 18th, 2007 at 8:41 pm

    D

    inta armaneh?

  • 9. N10452 | June 19th, 2007 at 12:18 am

    JoseyWales,
    Before asking if M14 will know how to play the game .. M14 members are now in danger more than ever .. and they need to be cautious in every single move they do, every single visit they do ..

    Unfortunatelly, Aoun is too blinded by the presidency HA promised him that he will stay with then at least until the presidentials arrive ..

  • 10. @li 1559 | June 19th, 2007 at 6:26 am

    Unfortunatelly, Aoun is too blinded by the presidency HA promised him that he will stay with then at least until the presidentials arrive

    Aoun is awake when the 14th of march are playing the old american game (baseball) HIT & RUN. Now they’re hiting till they start running lebanon will become another IRAQ .

    Back to your subject , where is nassralah located? Fortunatelly , HA are no longer controled by the syrian cuz simply they became a REGIONAL FORCES bil kell ma3na al kilme .

    At last , MOSSAD failed the mission (assassination) and now looking for revenge , things may not be going their way but they will never sleep on it , 7ata Law kalafiton al 3maliye 7are2 al balad , they will ! At last , maybe our plan (FPM) didnt’t work out , and we have gone through frustrations and disappointments . But no matter what our plans are , we will achieve it by our unity , patriotism and education . We’ve done it before and we will do it again , no doubt . Excuse me, are there any better ??????

    Best regds .

  • 11. D | June 19th, 2007 at 3:30 pm

    Paul,
    la habibe mane armane ana lebnene 3eyish b canada

  • 12. proud 2 b lf | June 19th, 2007 at 9:11 pm

    BAD 7assouna bad…..sit 7assouna…..roll over 7assouna……play DEAD 7assouna…..DIE 7assouna…..lmaoooooo lololol

  • 13. paul | June 19th, 2007 at 10:27 pm

    D,

    ok.

  • 14. paul | June 19th, 2007 at 10:34 pm

    nasrallah `s effective date ran off.

  • 15. delta | June 20th, 2007 at 11:58 am

    loooooooooooooooooooooool proudddddddd



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